Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 12 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 2 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 18th strongest of the 45 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 28 August 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 2 at 11:09AM EDT until September 2 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS State College PA
An estimated 90,017 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- August 28, 2026 · score 39 · 14.9 km
- August 27, 2026 · score 32 · 14.9 km
- June 6, 2026 · score 34 · 18.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 92 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 92% |
| Coordinates | 40.3007, -77.4534 |
| Nearest City | Carlisle (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 90.0K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-02T15:09:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.807f00e9f47ec2bd30281362f5bbc80bb70517bb.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Dauphin, PA; Perry, PA; Bedford, PA; Blair, PA; Cambria, PA; Cumberland, PA; Franklin, PA; Fulton, PA; Huntingdon, PA; Juniata, PA; Mifflin, PA; Perry, PA; Somerset, PA; Cumberland, PA; Juniata, PA; Mifflin, PA; Perry, PA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 2 at 11:09AM EDT until September 2 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS State College PA |
| Expires | 2026-09-02T12:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS State College PA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.807f00e9f47ec2bd30281362f5bbc80bb70517bb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.05405fa8f1bb7f0060f0bedfcc0d2dfc011ab22b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d6bc6f5fd4ea622937c1fc4ddcbf261742f8848a.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | UNK |
| Spc Location | 3 WSW Rock Springs |
| Spc County | Huntingdon |
| Spc State | PA |
| Spc Comments | Tree down across both lanes on the 500 block of Marengo Road. (CTP) |
| Iem TypeSummary | D |
| Iem City | 3 WSW Rock Springs |
| Iem County | Huntingdon |
| Iem State | PA |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Carlisle?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 32/100, near Carlisle (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.